Manning at Fort St. John Preview [Sat., Dec. 15]

Chris Clegg
NPHL.com Writer

A Tale of Two Cites was the theme last week. I never picked a single game right against the spread Thursday and Friday, going 0-3, but rebounded with three correct picks Saturday to split the week. David Temple, former NPHL linesman and avid NPHL fan, sets the lines.

Manning at Fort St. John [Sat., Dec. 15]
LINE: Fort St. John by 5 1/2

It’s the first of two meetings this season as second in the East meets third in the West. Both teams are even-steven at .500. FSJ is middle of the pack in most categories except for PIMs per game where they rank first for and second against. MAN has won three straight but two wins are over winless HP so are they for real or not? MAN’s concern is they rank last in shots on goal for and against, but FSJ is not much better ranking fifth and fourth. Still, FSJ averages more than nine shots on goal more per game than MAN, and allows over eight less shots on goal per game. FSJ’s third-ranked PK goes against MAN’s fourth ranked PK. The teams are separated by only one PIM for and against overall, with MAN being +41 and FSJ +42. Both teams are undefeated when leading after two periods: MAN is 4-0 and FSJ 3-0. If MAN happens to get ahead, they can still lose, having blown leads in 30 per cent of their games. FSJ has never lost to MAN in their NPHL history, winning 12 straight. In the six wins in FSJ, the home team has covered the current line four times. In MAN, for the record, only once, so overall FSJ has covered the current line five times in 12 wins. MAN has only scored only 13 goals in six visits to MAN, FSJ has scored 53. I think FSJ catches fire. FSJ to win and cover.

The Season Series

1. Sat., Dec. 15 – Manning at Fort St. John
2. Fri., Jan. 25 – Fort St. John at Manning

The Stats Pack
[Ranking in Parenthesis]

Category		Manning			Fort St. John

Record 5-5-0-0 [2-East] 4-4-0-0 [3-West]
Power Play 11-46, 23.91% [5] 10-38, 26.32% [3]
Penalty Kill 12-43, 71.09% [4] 8-28, 71.43% [5]
Shots For 30.50 per game [7] 39.88 per game [5]
Shots Vs 45.50 per game [7] 37.13 per game [4]
Shots Diff -150 [7] +22 [4]
PIM For 29.10 per game [6] 14.63 per game [1]
PIM Vs 33.20 per game [6] 19.88 per game [2]
PIM Diff +41 [3] +42 [2]
Scoring 1st 60.00% [1] 50.00% [T2]
Record Scoring 1st Goal 3-3 [T4] 3-1 [3]
Record Allow 1st Goal 2-2 [T3] 1-3 [6]
Lead After 1 Period 2-1 [5] 2-0 {3]
Trail After 1 Period 2-3 [4] 1-3 [6]
Lead After 2 Periods 4-0 [3] 3-0 [T4]
Trail After 2 Periods 1-5 [2] 0-3 [5]
Goals Scored in 1st 0.90 per game [7] 1.38 per game [T5]
Goals Scored in 2nd 1.60 per game [6] 2.13 per game [3]
Goals Scored in 3rd 1.44 per game [7] 2.25 per game [T2]
Goals Allowed in 1st 1.60 per game [5] 1.75 per game [6]
Goals Allowed in 2nd 1.80 per game [5] 1.00 per game [1]
Goals Allowed in 3rd 2.00 per game [T3] 2.00 per game [T3]
Goal Diff in 1 -7 [7] -3 [5]
Goal Diff in 2 -2 [5] +9 [2]
Goal Diff in 3 -7 [6] +2 [3]
Come From Behind Wins 30.00% [3] 12.50% [6]
Blown Leads 30.00% [T5] 12.50% [3]
Team Stick Fouls 4.10 PIM/Game [4] 2.50 PIM/Game [1]

LAST WEEK’S RECORD STRAIGHT-UP: 3-3
LAST WEEK’S RECORD AGAINST THE LINE: 3-3
SEASON RECORD STRAIGHT-UP: 22-10
SEASON RECORD AGAINST THE LINE: 21-11