Dawson Creek at Fort St. John Preview [Thu., Dec. 20]

Chris Clegg
NPHL.com Writer

The final week before the Christmas break, except for GP, who started their break after the Saturday win over GRIM. They don’t play until Jan. 3, a break of 19 days. Meanwhile it’s not all bad for winless HP. Every team makes the playoffs and HP has only four more road games left after their trip to FAL this week: FAL and MAN, and GRIM twice with one game at PR. Seven are at home. David Temple, former NPHL linesman and avid NPHL fan, sets the lines. To his credit, Temple called the GRIM upset over GP last week.

Dawson Creek at Fort St. John (Thu., Dec. 20)
LINE: Fort St. John by 1 1/2

It’s the third of six meetings this season as first place DC meets third place FSJ, but with a win FSJ can pull to within two points of DC. Each team has won on the road this season: DC 9-7 and FSJ 7-4. DC dominates the stats sheet. DC has the advantage in special teams, ranking second in PP and first in PK compared to FSJ’s sixth-ranked PP and fourth-ranked PK. DC also ranks first in shots on goal for and shots on goal allowed while FSJ is fifth for and fourth against. Overall, DC’s shots for and against is a sparkling +122 to FSJ’s +21. Don’t expect many penalties. This is a match of the two least penalized teams in the NPHL – FSJ takes 17.30 PIMs per game, DC 17.80 PIMs. They also rank first and second lowest in stick fouls PIMS per game: FSJ is 3.10 PIMS per game, DC is 3.30 PIMs per game. FSJ ranks first in PIMs per game for and against at +51. The first goal appears to be vital: DC is 5-0 when scoring first, FSJ is 5-1. But, when they allow the first goal, DC is 3-2 and FSJ 1-3. Both teams have scored first in half their games; both teams are 4-0 when leading after one period, both teams are perfect when leading after two periods [DC is 8-0, FSJ 5-0], and both teams are winless when trailing after two periods [DC is 0-2 and FSJ 0-3]. Getting a lead is a huge bonus for these teams. DC has not blown a lead this season, FSJ has blown only one lead in 10 games. Neither team allows more than two goals on average in any period. FSJ has actually enjoyed far more success in DC than at FSJ. FSJ has won eight of the last nine visits to DC and six covered the current line. It’s a trend too tough to ignore. FSJ has generally had better teams than DC the last few years but for some reason DC does not match up well with FSJ. Maybe FSJ gets fired up to play their BC rivals. FSJ to win and cover.

The Season Series

1. Fri., Nov. 16 – Dawson Creek 9 at Fort St. John 7
2. Thu., Dec. 13 – Fort St. John 7 at Dawson Creek 4
3. Thu., Dec. 30 – Dawson Creek at Fort St. John
4. Sat., Dec. 22 – Fort St. John at Dawson Creek
5. Tue., Jan. 15 – Fort St. John at Dawson Creek
6. Wed., Jan. 30 – Dawson Creek at Fort St. John

The Stats Pack
[Ranking in Parenthesis]

Category		Dawson Creek		Fort St. John

Record 8-2-0-0 [1-West] 6-4-0-0 [3-West]
Power Play 16-44, 36.36% [2] 10-47, 21.28% [6]
Penalty Kill 8-39, 79.49% [1] 9-37, 75.68% [4]
Shots For 45.80 per game [1] 39.30 per game [5]
Shots Vs 33.60 per game [1] 37.20 per game [4]
Shots Diff +122 [1] +21 [4]
PIM For 17.80 per game [2] 17.30 per game [1]
PIM Vs 19.90 per game [2] 22.40 per game [4]
PIM Diff +21 [4] +51 [1]
Scoring 1st 50.00% [T3] 50.00% [T3]
Record Scoring 1st Goal 5-0 [1] 5-1 [2]
Record Allow 1st Goal 3-2 [2] 1-3 [6]
Lead After 1 Period 4-0 {T2] 4-0 [T2]
Trail After 1 Period 1-2 [T3] 1-3 [T5]
Lead After 2 Periods 8-0 [1] 5-0 [3]
Trail After 2 Periods 0-2 [4] 0-3 [5]
Goals Scored in 1st 1.70 per game [3] 1.50 per game [T5]
Goals Scored in 2nd 2.80 per game [1] 2.20 per game [3]
Goals Scored in 3rd 1.70 per game [5] 2.40 per game [2]
Goals Allowed in 1st 1.30 per game [1] 1.50 per game [4]
Goals Allowed in 2nd 1.30 per game [2] 0.80 per game [1]
Goals Allowed in 3rd 1.10 per game [2] 1.90 per game [3]
Goal Diff in 1 +4 [T2] 0 [5]
Goal Diff in 2 +15 [2] +14 [3]
Goal Diff in 3 +6 [2] +5 [3]
Come From Behind Wins 30.00% [T2] 10.00% [6]
Blown Leads 0% [1] 10.00% [2]
Team Stick Fouls 3.30 PIM/Game [2] 3.10 PIM/Game [1]